Рубрика: Hydrosystems Engineering Reliability Assessment and Risk Analysis

Determination of bounds on multivariate normal probability

Instead of computing the exact value of Ф(z |Rx), several methods have been proposed to determine the bounds on the exact value of Ф(z |Rx). This section describes three such bounds. Bounds of Rackwitz. The scheme of Rackwitz (1978) is based on the decompo­sition of a positive correlation coefficient pij = XiXj, for i, j […]

Computation of multivariate normal probability

Evaluation of the probability of multivariate normal random variables involves multidimensional integration as Accurate evaluation for Ф(г |Rx) is generally difficult and often is resolved by approximations. Bivariate normal probability. For abivariate case, Fortran computer programs for computing the lower left volume under the density surface, that is, Ф(а, b | p) = P(Z1 < […]

Multivariate Probability Distributions

Multivariate probability distributions are extensions of univariate probability distributions that jointly account for more than one random variable. Bivari­ate and trivariate distributions are special cases where two and three random variables, respectively, are involved. The fundamental basis of multivariate probability distributions is described in Sec. 2.3.2. In general, the availability of multivariate distribution models is […]

Distributions related to normal random variables

The normal distribution has been playing an important role in the development of statistical theories. This subsection briefly describes two distributions related to the functions of normal random variables. Figure 2.23 Shapes of standard beta probability density functions. (After Johnson and Kotz, 1972.)   X2 (chi-square) distribution. The sum of the squares of K independent […]

Extreme-value distributions

Hydrosystems engineering reliability analysis often focuses on the statisti­cal characteristics of extreme events. For example, the design of flood-control structures may be concerned with the distribution of the largest events over the recorded period. On the other hand, the establishment of a drought- management plan or water-quality management scheme might be interested in the statistical […]

Lognormal distribution

The lognormal distribution is a commonly used continuous distribution for posi­tively valued random variables. Lognormal random variables are closely related to normal random variables, by which a random variable X has a lognormal distribution if its logarithmic transform Y = ln(X) has a normal distribution with mean xln x and variance оЩx. From the central […]